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Steven Holms (superlinkx)

Steven Holms (superlinkx) Verified in Google 

Web Developer, science geek, Brony

Occupation: Software Developer (RedShift Development)

Location: La Salle, CO

Birthday: 01/17

Followers: 1,144

Following: 294

Views: 740,546

Added to CircleCount.com: 01/12/2012That's the date, where Steven Holms (superlinkx) has been indexed by CircleCount.com.
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Steven Holms (superlinkx) has been at 1 events

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Fraser Cain991,336To celebrate the landing of NASA's Curiosity Rover - the Mars Science Laboratory - we'll be running a special live hangout.  In conjunction with @106911959181067745693. We'll have all your favorite space/astronomy journalists on hand to discuss the mission in depth, and celebrate the landing live, when it happens. Join Fraser Cain, @109036978092446954908, @108952536790629690817 and @102887292457967781591 for this special event. Over the course of this 4-hour Google+ Hangout on Air, we'll interview members of the Curiosity team live in the hangout, as well as other special guests from the @111419948721791453320 and the @108759765804984663877. @109479143173251353583 and @107051665537162034944 will be on location at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory to interview members of the engineering team, and show you what it's like to be at NASA during this amazing moment. We'll update this event as we lock down more of the guests and participants. See you there! You can follow the hashtag #marshangout   (this will replace our regular Sunday night @100902337165997768522)Google+ Hangout - Curiosity Landing Coverage2012-08-06 05:00:004843  

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Top posts in the last 50 posts

Most comments: 6

2016-03-18 21:18:28 (6 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

RIP Neil deGrasse Tyson. You should have known better

Most reshares: 1

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2015-07-11 18:13:23 (0 comments; 1 reshares; 4 +1s; )Open 

Phantom internet haha :P

Most plusones: 5

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2016-01-17 02:56:05 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 5 +1s; )Open 

My mom let me pick a Lego out of her secret stash. Found this beautiful retired one. A smart man would have sold it unopened. I am not a smart man.

Latest 50 posts

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2016-07-14 02:00:38 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

You know what will save police lives? Stop allowing this shit to happen. Bombing citizens isn't the answer. Shooting first, never asking questions needs to be outlawed and captial punishment being reserved for police who fuck up. Don't give me this bullshit that "but they'll be too afraid to do their jobs". Fucking stop being absolute shit, America.

You know what will save police lives? Stop allowing this shit to happen. Bombing citizens isn't the answer. Shooting first, never asking questions needs to be outlawed and captial punishment being reserved for police who fuck up. Don't give me this bullshit that "but they'll be too afraid to do their jobs". Fucking stop being absolute shit, America.___

2016-05-04 04:20:44 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 1 +1s; )Open 

I think I'll start using Go for a lot more of my small projects. Not quite as quick to iterate as a traditional scripting language, but it's almost there and the benefits are pretty great. Need to work on my overall knowledge of the language to better harness it's features when writing quickly, but still impressed with how effortless adding 3rd party code to my project is and how easy composition can be. 

I think I'll start using Go for a lot more of my small projects. Not quite as quick to iterate as a traditional scripting language, but it's almost there and the benefits are pretty great. Need to work on my overall knowledge of the language to better harness it's features when writing quickly, but still impressed with how effortless adding 3rd party code to my project is and how easy composition can be. ___

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2016-05-04 01:53:45 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 1 +1s; )Open 

And hacking complete. Final product took a little over two hours to figure out, code, test, test on Windows, and upload to github.

And hacking complete. Final product took a little over two hours to figure out, code, test, test on Windows, and upload to github.___

2016-05-03 23:11:30 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Going to hack a quick SMTP client using Go. This is gonna be fun

Going to hack a quick SMTP client using Go. This is gonna be fun___

2016-03-18 21:18:28 (6 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

RIP Neil deGrasse Tyson. You should have known better

RIP Neil deGrasse Tyson. You should have known better___

2016-03-12 18:25:39 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

The Android N preview is actually pretty damn stable so far. Not perfect, but rock solid compared to the Roms I'd play around with back in the day.

The speed of certain things has definitely improved, and the interface changes are pretty nice too. I really want to get a Pixel C now

The Android N preview is actually pretty damn stable so far. Not perfect, but rock solid compared to the Roms I'd play around with back in the day.

The speed of certain things has definitely improved, and the interface changes are pretty nice too. I really want to get a Pixel C now___

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2016-01-17 02:56:05 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 5 +1s; )Open 

My mom let me pick a Lego out of her secret stash. Found this beautiful retired one. A smart man would have sold it unopened. I am not a smart man.

My mom let me pick a Lego out of her secret stash. Found this beautiful retired one. A smart man would have sold it unopened. I am not a smart man.___

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2016-01-05 00:28:24 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 1 +1s; )Open 

As much as I like the idea of unlimited usage of certain high data services (such as music and video streaming), T-Mobile is being pretty shady about the whole thing, and it could set a precedent for more draconian companies to start doing some horrible anti-net neutrality things.

___As much as I like the idea of unlimited usage of certain high data services (such as music and video streaming), T-Mobile is being pretty shady about the whole thing, and it could set a precedent for more draconian companies to start doing some horrible anti-net neutrality things.

2015-12-26 22:14:01 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

A close friend sent me a Fallout 4 code unexpectedly last night. Now I'm hooked in one of my favorite game universes of all time. Feels a lot like Fallout 3, but also very different. Loving it so far. 

A close friend sent me a Fallout 4 code unexpectedly last night. Now I'm hooked in one of my favorite game universes of all time. Feels a lot like Fallout 3, but also very different. Loving it so far. ___

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2015-12-24 06:23:44 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 1 +1s; )Open 

Sometimes cyanide and happiness hits you in the feels

Sometimes cyanide and happiness hits you in the feels___

2015-12-24 01:32:29 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Fuck the assholes ddosing. I won't call them out by name, but we all know who they are

Fuck the assholes ddosing. I won't call them out by name, but we all know who they are___

2015-12-15 18:09:32 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Fucking Snow

Fucking Snow___

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2015-12-14 02:22:52 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 2 +1s; )Open 

The story of Star Wars is a familiar one from an unfamiliar angle. It follows the life of a young jihadi, from his socially isolated teenage years on a hardscrabble farm, through his encounters with local radical elements, through the death of his parents as "collateral damage" in a military operation, through his move to a remote location where he studies under a hard-line mullah, to his involvement in a series of terrorist acts, leaving thousands of soldiers dead in his wake. What's unfamiliar about this story (from a Western perspective) is that we see this story not from the point of view of civil society, the police, or the victims of radical Jedi terror, but from the point of view of the terrorists themselves. That is, this is a chance to see the logic of violent terrorism from the perspective of those participating in it.

This unconventional angle may make the film... more »

The story of Star Wars is a familiar one from an unfamiliar angle. It follows the life of a young jihadi, from his socially isolated teenage years on a hardscrabble farm, through his encounters with local radical elements, through the death of his parents as "collateral damage" in a military operation, through his move to a remote location where he studies under a hard-line mullah, to his involvement in a series of terrorist acts, leaving thousands of soldiers dead in his wake. What's unfamiliar about this story (from a Western perspective) is that we see this story not from the point of view of civil society, the police, or the victims of radical Jedi terror, but from the point of view of the terrorists themselves. That is, this is a chance to see the logic of violent terrorism from the perspective of those participating in it.

This unconventional angle may make the film politically highly sensitive in these security-conscious times, but with a new installment coming shortly (about the consequences of living in the aftermath of the destabilization of the government by terror and insurrection), I think it may be worth the risk of being placed on watchlists to watch this film and seriously consider its lessons for our day. After all, nobody is a villain in their own eyes.

h/t +A.V. Flox​___

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2015-12-04 17:43:40 (1 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

"No matter what, any killing of any human being is an act of terrorism."

The rest of the article is a bit meh

"No matter what, any killing of any human being is an act of terrorism."

The rest of the article is a bit meh___

2015-12-01 19:51:33 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Google.com/+ no longer redirects to Google Plus...

Google.com/+ no longer redirects to Google Plus...___

2015-11-19 17:41:30 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Well, the new Android app for Google+ also doesn't have a good way to filter streams through circles. They're pushing collections so hard, you have to do around 7 taps to view content from a single circle.

This is quite irritating in an otherwise pretty nice update. 

Well, the new Android app for Google+ also doesn't have a good way to filter streams through circles. They're pushing collections so hard, you have to do around 7 taps to view content from a single circle.

This is quite irritating in an otherwise pretty nice update. ___

2015-11-19 04:53:29 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

The new Google+ seems great, but they need to get the ability to view circle specific streams back. At least it isn't dumping my carefully tuned circles into the home stream for now. I prefer to get certain amounts of posts from some circles, or the ability to view the contents on demand, rather than as part of the main firehose.

Sharing to circles is a little awkward now that communities take up the top of the list, but I can deal with that. The speed and simplicity is definitely nice.

Oh, and they brought back the #whitespace. I forgot about those dark times...

The new Google+ seems great, but they need to get the ability to view circle specific streams back. At least it isn't dumping my carefully tuned circles into the home stream for now. I prefer to get certain amounts of posts from some circles, or the ability to view the contents on demand, rather than as part of the main firehose.

Sharing to circles is a little awkward now that communities take up the top of the list, but I can deal with that. The speed and simplicity is definitely nice.

Oh, and they brought back the #whitespace. I forgot about those dark times...___

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2015-11-17 01:38:25 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 1 +1s; )Open 

So that's why science in America is so bad. Because this is what our science advisor sees as the right way to handle personal beliefs. 

So that's why science in America is so bad. Because this is what our science advisor sees as the right way to handle personal beliefs. ___

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2015-11-17 01:29:02 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Describing tech journalism and news in the same terms isn't just wrong, it's dangerous.

Also, poorly formatted websites give me nausea, so there's that argument. 

Describing tech journalism and news in the same terms isn't just wrong, it's dangerous.

Also, poorly formatted websites give me nausea, so there's that argument. ___

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2015-11-15 05:31:00 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 1 +1s; )Open 

This is what an actual informed opinion looks like. Take a close look at how your opinions developed and ask yourself why you think they have merit. If you aren't critically analyzing opinions, you're just another part of the problem, not a solution.

Twenty-four hours after an attack by Da'esh (the organization formerly known as ISIS [1]) on Paris left 129 dead and 352 wounded, the Internet and the airwaves alike have been filled with profound waves of self-serving nonsense and stupidity from left and right alike. Everyone seems to have found a way in which this situation justifies their position – protect the refugees! Exile the refugees! Bomb someone! Stop all bombing of anyone! – and magically, it seems that one of the most complex political situations of our time can be reduced to simple slogans.

Well, I've run out of patience with this, so let me seriously discuss what just happened here, and what it tells us. I'm going to talk about three things which have combined to lead to yesterday's massacre: the refugee crisis, Europe's Muslim population, and Da'esh. I'll then talk about a few things which I think have little or nothing to do with what we're seeing – most importantly, religion and oil – and a few things which do – such as food and water. And finally, we'll talk about what it's going to take to fix this, both in the short term and the long term.

Being entirely out of patience right now, forgive me for being particularly blunt. I suspect that, by the end of this, you will be thoroughly offended by my opinions, whether you are American, European, or Middle Eastern, left or right: nobody has behaved well in the lead-up to this.


The first thing to realize about the refugees streaming into Europe from Syria and its environs is that not only are they not, by and large, terrorists – they're people fleeing these exact terrorists. France was just hit by Da'esh, with over five hundred casualties; in Syria, people are surrounded by Da'esh on one side, and a bloodthirsty army on the other side, and have been seeing death on the scale of yesterday's attack every single day for the past four and a half years. [2] If you were living there, you would very likely be fleeing, too.

But the second thing to realize about the refugees is that there are, in fact, Da'esh members among them. It's clear that at least one of the attackers came in from Syria as part of October's refugee flood, and there's no reason at all not to believe that quite a few more are among them, working both at short- and long-term goals. (More on which in a moment)

Everyone seems to have simplistic solutions, here: kick out all the Muslims (as America's Ann Coulter and Donald Trump suggest), settle the refugees more permanently, build giant prison camps. These solutions tend to miss a few very basic points:

(1) When you have hundreds of thousands of people who are quite literally willing to risk not only their deaths, but the deaths of their families, in order to escape, your odds of being able to keep them out aren't actually great, unless your plan is to mobilize a giant army and start attacking inward until they're fleeing in the opposite direction.

(2) You do not have enough prison camp capacity to handle this many people, nor could you build it. Nor do you have enough housing and residential infrastructure capacity to easily settle this many people, because the flux you're seeing out of Syria is very far from the end of it. 

This is why large regional disasters quickly tend to spread into adjacent regions. This is why it's important not to let regional disasters get out of hand, no matter how politically appealing isolationism may appear.


The second thing to be aware of is that this didn't happen in a vacuum: Europe has a very large Muslim population, and it seems that most of the attackers were French or Belgian citizens. This started out with Europe's colonial ambitions, back in the day: France, for example, ruled over Algeria with a mind-bogglingly bloodthirsty approach [3] for decades, but now has a large population of people with a right to French residence who have been moving in to the country in search of a better economic situation. (Hardly surprising, when you leave behind a colony wracked by a horrifying civil war for decades) And France is far from alone in this.

Europe's Muslim population is both profoundly European and profoundly not European. They are European in that they have been living there, often for more than a generation; they work there, they pay taxes, they have become as assimilated as they can. They are not European in that Europe has been profoundly unwilling to allow them to assimilate. This is far from a historical anomaly: Europe has historically defined itself in terms of villages or cities and their local populations, which one can't really join very easily. Groups marked as outsiders – be they Jews, Romany, or Muslims – have been considered only marginally European. At times, there has been a high degree of apparent assimilation: for example, Jews were thoroughly integrated into European culture in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, intermarrying, forming friendships and professional associations across the board. As you may notice, "thorough integration" can be an awfully chancy business. 

Muslims in today's Europe, on the other hand, don't have anything close to this superficial level of integration; France has been routinely passing laws banning Muslims from dressing the way they did in their home countries in the past few years, which should tell you a great deal about local opinions of that population.

So you have a large population who finds it systematically hard to find work, impossible to be accepted, the regular target of police, and told every day that they should probably be kicked out of the country. I'm sure you will find it shocking that, if you do this to a few tens of millions of people for a few decades at a stretch, you will end up with a disillusioned and disenfranchised youth, some of which will combine this with the general hot-headedness and stupidity of being a young adult to become easy fodder for people who have shown up to recruit.

Lots of people seem to have half-assed solutions here, and they tend to be even more foolish than the solutions to the refugee crisis. "Send them back," the European right frequently cries: back to where? Most of the Muslim population is no longer fresh immigrants; they are second and third generation Europeans. They don't have homes anywhere else. The European left, on the other hand, preaches a mealymouthed combination of urging assimilation and unmistakeable racism. 

For some context, go back to the Charlie Hebdo attacks several months ago. There was a large outcry, saying that what the magazine (a notable left-wing satirical organ) had been doing was entirely in the bounds of proper satire, that the satire of religion was a hallowed European tradition. What this explanation glosses over is that nobody on the receiving end of the satire saw it as satire of religion, for the simple reason that religious affiliation, in Europe as in the Middle East, has little to do with what you believe and much to do with who you are. Charlie Hebdo's targets weren't simply religious extremists preaching from Saudi mosques; they were a portrayal of the French Muslim population as violent extremists, the dangerous other. And that's precisely the European left-wing line: Muslims are fine, so long as they become completely European, to the extent that we can forget that they were ever from someone else. Which, realistically, might mean they have to intermarry for a few generations and acquire blue eyes and blond hair, but that's OK, we welcome them!

The honest fact is this: neither the European left nor the right have ever made the large Muslim community into a full part of society. One side has covered it in nice words, while the other side has blared its xenophobia from the rooftops, but nobody on the receiving end of either of these has been fooled.

You sow the wind, you reap the whirlwind. What did you expect was going to happen?


And then we come over to our friends in the Middle East, the psychotically bloodthirsty bastards of Da'esh itself. It's a bit off to even refer to them as Islamist extremists in the mold of al-Qaeda; they've gone so far off the rails of Islam that the only clear ideology that often seems left is power and murder. Exhortations from theologians of any stripe aren't really going to have an effect on them.

But they seem to have realized that they are on an upswing of power, nobody having the resources or will to stop them, and have come up with the idea of spreading this worldwide, with attacks spreading to places like Russia and France – and, as soon as they can, everywhere else. Because as far as anyone can tell, they want to take over the world.

(Yes, this is a kind of screwy plan, and they barely even control chunks of land in the ass end of Syria and Iraq. But they've had enough luck with killing people that they seem to have convinced themselves that if they engage in even more killing people, it'll continue to work just as well. [4])

They seem to have one fairly simple strategic objective with these new attacks: drive a hard wedge between Muslim and infidel populations around the world, so that the Muslims will have no choice but to join them and become their army, overthrowing the local governments and establishing a world-wide Caliphate.

Unfortunately, political stupidity seems likely to help them. If the response to these attacks is to further isolate Muslim populations – both settled and refugee – then they will certainly have a far easier time recruiting among them. It's not actually going to lead to them taking over the world, but it will lead to bloodshed.

This recruitment tends to take a few forms. One is to recruit fighters to come and help in the bloodshed in existing battlefields; the second is to recruit suicide bombers and the like in other countries. These are somewhat disjoint processes, since the process of recruiting someone to commit suicide is rather different and targets different sorts of people, but there is also overlap: one strategy which al-Qaeda long favored was to recruit people to come to places like Iraq, Afghanistan, or Chechnya to fight, and later export trained fighters elsewhere.

One important thing about these tactics is that they seem to be realizing that surprisingly little training and planning is required. Yesterday's attack required some coordination among teams, but nothing spectacular; it did require practice in gunplay. But even this was fairly complex compared to the bare minimum required; consider the amount of chaos caused by the D.C. Sniper back in 2002.


Da'esh poses a particular danger because they seem to have latched onto the idea of exporting their violence to the rest of the world, but they're hardly the first or the last group to do this. If they were to be wiped out, I wouldn't bet any money that someone else wouldn't get the same idea soon after, much like al-Qaeda did before them. It's not even a particularly regional idea; the notion that if we kill enough people we can restructure the world to be perfectly {Aryan, Muslim, Democratic, Christian, Communist, etc.}, or to be the economic vassal states of the {X} empire, is frankly a cliché by now on pretty much every square kilometer of the planet.


So let's review where we are, for a moment. There's a large European Muslim population which is disillusioned, disenfranchised, underemployed, and generally treated as outsiders and fair political punching bags by the society as a whole. There's a giant stream of refugees pouring in to Europe, combining huge numbers of people running for their lives from bloodthirsty maniacs with small numbers of bloodthirsty maniacs looking to recruit. There's a factory of particularly bloodthirsty maniacs with a vision of taking over the world through (a) killing people and (b) convincing the rest of the world to treat Muslims even more like outsiders, who are actively trying to both create refugee streams and send out recruiters, to this end.


At this point, I expect to hear a chorus of voices blaming two things for this: religion (specifically, Islam), and oil (specifically, the West's insatiable need for it). To which my main response to both is "hogwash."

The reason I reject Islam as an explanation for this is that there's nothing particularly Muslim about any of it. The European Muslims which are being treated as second-class citizens aren't being treated that way because they pray on rugs facing Mecca, rather than in pews facing an altar; they're being treated this way because they're "dirty foreigners." (I'll spare you the actual terms used to describe them) Da'esh's plan to take over the world isn't rooted in a theological destiny of Muslims; it's rooted in an explicitly political vision of conquest. And quite frankly, the people being shot at the most are Muslims, too; remember who the refugees were running from?

More profoundly, people in the Middle East aren't systematically any more religious than people are in America. You have the same spectrum from the wholly secular to the crazed fundamentalist, with the former predominating in cities and the latter in the countryside. There's a tendency to assume (for example) that any woman wearing a headscarf must be extremely devout, or subject to domination and terror by some devout man; you have to back away and look at it in its local context, where sometimes it's a sign of devotion or a political statement, but it's also just what people wear; for many people, walking around with one's hair exposed is not done in much the same way people don't walk around in most of the US or Europe with their asses hanging out.

Oil is generally used as a proxy for "if only the Americans|Europeans never intervened in the Middle East, it would be peaceful there!" This bespeaks a rather curious innocence as to the history of the Middle East, combined with a reversed vision of (generally American) exceptionalism, that somehow our surpassing evil can corrupt otherwise noble savages. It's certainly true that without oil, most of the Middle East would be desperately poor – but as it happens, most of it is desperately poor anyway. Oil is not uniformly distributed, and Syria doesn't have that much of it to begin with.

There is one sense in which this is true, which is that the 2003 invasion of Iraq created a spectacular disaster. George W. Bush's belief that if we just created enough of a power vacuum, democracy would magically rush in to fill the void – the precise belief which his father didn't have, mind you, which is why GHWB made the explicit and deliberate decision to leave Saddam Hussein in power – proved to be exactly as unwise as it sounds when written so plainly. The result was a giant area of anarchy and civil war smack in the center of the Middle East, into which would-be fighters from all over the region (as well as other regions) swarmed: veterans of Chechnya and Bosnia found new employment in Iraq, as Sunnis and Shi'ites alike slaughtered one another. This anarchy, never resolved, has been the perfect factory of chaos which quite easily spilled over elsewhere.


But there's one profound factor which has driven the violence in the Middle East far more than oil ever could: water.

The entire Middle East has been in a water, and thus food, crisis for decades. In Egypt, for example, the Nile Valley has been drying out ever since the Aswan Dam was completed in 1970; as this once-fertile soil turned to desert, people have streamed into Cairo, doubling and tripling its population by forming tremendous shantytowns. Unemployment was extreme, as it's not like the cities suddenly had tens of millions of new jobs in them; the government kept order as well as it could by importing grain in tremendous quantities (the government's by-far largest annual expense) and selling bread cheaply. Unfortunately, a drought in Russia and Ukraine, Egypt's primary suppliers, caused those countries to cut off wheat exports in 2011 – and the government collapsed soon after.

Syria is a similar story: the lead-in to the collapse of Bashar al-Assad's dictatorship was steady droughts in the Syrian countryside driving people into the cities by the hundreds of thousands, leading to mass unemployment and unrest. People's livelihoods had simply disappeared. Stories like this repeat across the entire Middle East.


When we talk about the ultimate causes of the situation, this is the fact we tend to ignore: at the root of it, there isn't enough water, and there isn't enough food, and droughts have been hitting the area harder and harder for a decade. When there isn't enough food, people move from the countryside to the cities; and now you have giant groups of people who still don't have jobs or food, and that's a recipe for the collapse of governments as surely today as it was in Europe in the 1840's.

If you've ever wondered why I have often said that we need to be very actively worried about climate change, this is it. Changing climate breaks agriculture in various areas; the people who were farming there don't magically turn into factory workers or teleport to places which are (slowly) becoming more fertile; they become desperate former farmers, generally flooding into cities. 


So given all of this, what can we actually conclude? I think the most important thing is that you can't bury your head in the sand, and assume that problems in some other part of the world aren't your own. A drought or a civil war somewhere else can easily start to spill over in unexpected ways.

If you want to avoid terrible consequences, what you have to do is plan, and in particular never let kindling build up. For example:

(1) If you have a large, disenfranchised, population, this is trouble waiting to start. The only way to fix this problem is to enfranchise them: give them a full stake in your society. Yes, that means treating people who are very different from you like full equals. Yes, it also means that your society – that is, the set of people that you're responsible for – now includes a bunch of people who are a lot poorer than you are, and this is going to be expensive to fix. You're not going to like it. But you're going to like the alternative a whole lot less.

(2) If there's political instability, or worst of all, food supply instability somewhere else in the world, it doesn't matter how far away it seems: you need to get together with everyone else and have a serious plan to deal with it. Once masses of hundreds of thousands of people start streaming across the countryside, chaos will follow in their wake. 

(3) Climate change isn't an abstract fear for the future; it's a major political problem right now. You can't punt it away and talk about what to do about carbon emissions or its effect on the economy; you have to sit down and come up with serious strategic plans for what to do when agricultural productivity in critical breadbaskets drops sharply, or watersheds dry up. Contingency planning for any government needs to include anything from hurricanes to long-term droughts, and not just as one-offs, but what to do if these start happening a lot. The reason you need to plan for this is that it's not a goddamned hypothetical, you idiot.


What do we do in the short term? This is harder, because right now Da'esh has been sending agents across the planet to cause as much trouble as they can. One obvious prong of the solution is ordinary police work; that's proven far more effective than complex intelligence solutions at catching terrorists. Another prong is stopping their support system at the root. Because Da'esh's plans are so focused on actual conquest, a collapse of their regime back home is likely to have more of an effect on their satellite agents than the collapse of a more ideologically-oriented organization like al-Qaeda.

A third prong is to stabilize the situation in Syria: here the key isn't so much blowing anyone up as giving people a way to stop fighting. There are three key obstacles to this. One is Da'esh, which seems to be pretty committed to fighting for its own sake; this is unlikely fixable by any means short of straightforward military defeat. One is the underlying lack of food availability. The third is that quite a lot of people have reason to believe that they will be killed either if al-Assad regains power, or if he loses power. They need a serious guarantee of personal safety in any peace.

What this probably means is that a peace agreement will require very heavy international support: aid to rebuild the country, neutral military forces to guarantee cease-fires, and some way to deal with the underlying economic issues. That's going to require heavy international coordination of the profoundly unsexy sort: not deploying giant militaries to bomb targets and wave banners, or propping up regimes and helping them "suppress insurgencies," but working on the long-term realities of helping locals build a government that they're invested in – even when said government is unlikely to be either similar to Western norms, or friendly to Western aims. Military force to crush Da'esh is almost certainly needed as a precondition to this, but it's by far the smaller part of the game.


The short version is: if you want to fix problems, you're going to have to deal with some very serious, expensive, and unsexy solutions. Because life isn't simple, and you can't just bomb your way out of trouble.

[1] See this recent editorial for the argument for switching to the term Da'esh more broadly: http://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2014/10/09/words-matter-isis-war-use-daesh/V85GYEuasEEJgrUun0dMUP/story.html

[2] cf, for example, this infographic: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/09/14/world/middleeast/syria-war-deaths.html

[3] cf, for example, this obituary of a proud French torturer: https://plus.google.com/+YonatanZunger/posts/1PQQQ3XfnYA

[4] cf https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B3slX6-_20___This is what an actual informed opinion looks like. Take a close look at how your opinions developed and ask yourself why you think they have merit. If you aren't critically analyzing opinions, you're just another part of the problem, not a solution.

2015-10-28 02:10:08 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 1 +1s; )Open 

The Xbox elite controller is really nice. Sadly the bottom two paddles are uncomfortable to have, so basically play with two paddles instead. I don't find this a huge problem as I mainly only really use two paddles anyway. The sticks feel so good, and the triggers are so smooth. Overall feels high quality and works well. Considering I've torn a chunk of plastic out of my left stick on my old controller, this metal controller should hold up to wear a lot better. 

The Xbox elite controller is really nice. Sadly the bottom two paddles are uncomfortable to have, so basically play with two paddles instead. I don't find this a huge problem as I mainly only really use two paddles anyway. The sticks feel so good, and the triggers are so smooth. Overall feels high quality and works well. Considering I've torn a chunk of plastic out of my left stick on my old controller, this metal controller should hold up to wear a lot better. ___

2015-10-27 22:41:11 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 1 +1s; )Open 

After just under a day with Halo 5, I'm still super excited. Finished campaign on heroic with some friends in around 6 hours. Plenty of reasons to replay though, so not too concerned with hours to smash through it. Story writing was relatively poor, but delivery and visuals were pretty awesome. Plot was decent, been kind of coming for a while for those that read the extended lore. I fully expected the twist even after Halo 4, though I didn't really see the new villain coming. Still, works out fine with the extended universe and overall was a fairly complete story this time around, unlike 4.

The real meat and potatoes is the multiplayer. And holy crap is it awesome. Everything plays well, the abilities don't feel like some bullshit like in Destiny, and the guns are so well balanced, I can play with any gun on the ground and know it can win a gunfight if I play my engagements... more »

After just under a day with Halo 5, I'm still super excited. Finished campaign on heroic with some friends in around 6 hours. Plenty of reasons to replay though, so not too concerned with hours to smash through it. Story writing was relatively poor, but delivery and visuals were pretty awesome. Plot was decent, been kind of coming for a while for those that read the extended lore. I fully expected the twist even after Halo 4, though I didn't really see the new villain coming. Still, works out fine with the extended universe and overall was a fairly complete story this time around, unlike 4.

The real meat and potatoes is the multiplayer. And holy crap is it awesome. Everything plays well, the abilities don't feel like some bullshit like in Destiny, and the guns are so well balanced, I can play with any gun on the ground and know it can win a gunfight if I play my engagements correctly. Aim assist is decreased, making individual aim take more skill. Grenades are powerful, but can be outplayed. The maps are a little lacking in visuals, but make up for it in being really well balanced with plenty of ways to play them.

Haven't had any connectivity or lag issues outside my own network. The dedicated servers are working, matchmaking is lightning fast, things are stable. A major game actually launched in 2015 with working servers and no game breaking bugs at launch. I can't believe it. Only other thoughts are gametypes are really lacking right now, and the lack of forge and a file share is unfortunate. Luckily, all these things will be added in the next month or two, and what is available now is well polished and working, which after MCC, I'd rather have what they launch with working, than get everything on disk and nothing works. ___

2015-10-25 18:13:05 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Soon the wait that started over two years ago will be over. Halo 5 launches tomorrow night, and I couldn't be more ready. I'm taking the entire day on Tuesday to dig into all the new stuff and couldn't be more excited. The story sounds like it's going to be amazing, along with great gameplay in campaign. I'll finally be able to play good, competitive multiplayer (RIP Destiny, you won't be missed), and Warzone looks to finally bring an awesome new mode with lots of replayability while throwing everything from the Halo sandbox into one place.

Overall this launch is going to be crazy, and I can't wait to finally get my hands on this game. They hype has been real ever since I got to play the Beta in December.

Soon the wait that started over two years ago will be over. Halo 5 launches tomorrow night, and I couldn't be more ready. I'm taking the entire day on Tuesday to dig into all the new stuff and couldn't be more excited. The story sounds like it's going to be amazing, along with great gameplay in campaign. I'll finally be able to play good, competitive multiplayer (RIP Destiny, you won't be missed), and Warzone looks to finally bring an awesome new mode with lots of replayability while throwing everything from the Halo sandbox into one place.

Overall this launch is going to be crazy, and I can't wait to finally get my hands on this game. They hype has been real ever since I got to play the Beta in December.___

2015-10-05 18:40:34 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Gonna try out the general factory image on my Project Fi Nexus 6. Hopefully all goes well. 

Gonna try out the general factory image on my Project Fi Nexus 6. Hopefully all goes well. ___

2015-09-15 19:20:36 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

The new Destiny DLC is surprisingly good. The last one showed a lot of promise, but ultimately wasn't much replay value and the end game was a joke.

This time we got some really well made cinematics, awesome voice acting (mostly the script was actually good, talent was already best in the business), great lore clarifications in-game, and some character development for some fan favorite side characters. The new quest system is intricate enough to take more than a few hours to really get far, which makes up for the 3 hour story.

Rewards are much better, with quests giving guaranteed rewards and allowing you to choose what to focus on. Overall, the game is much more approachable and fun. The free exotic primary for all year one players was a nice touch (hawkmoon ftw)

Looks like I'll have something to play until H5 releases, and then I'll probably disappear for a... more »

The new Destiny DLC is surprisingly good. The last one showed a lot of promise, but ultimately wasn't much replay value and the end game was a joke.

This time we got some really well made cinematics, awesome voice acting (mostly the script was actually good, talent was already best in the business), great lore clarifications in-game, and some character development for some fan favorite side characters. The new quest system is intricate enough to take more than a few hours to really get far, which makes up for the 3 hour story.

Rewards are much better, with quests giving guaranteed rewards and allowing you to choose what to focus on. Overall, the game is much more approachable and fun. The free exotic primary for all year one players was a nice touch (hawkmoon ftw)

Looks like I'll have something to play until H5 releases, and then I'll probably disappear for a month due to a non-stop Halo addiction.

Destiny TTK: 8/10___

2015-09-15 08:57:58 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Got up at 3 today to play Destiny... What has my life become?

Got up at 3 today to play Destiny... What has my life become?___

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2015-09-04 22:11:27 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

http://theoatmeal.com/comics/baby_storage

http://theoatmeal.com/comics/baby_storage___

2015-08-24 18:28:02 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Finally got my Windows 10 partition upgraded to final. Was still stuck on a really old build. Guess the upgrade process doesn't play nicely with Grub, so had to switch to the Windows bootloader to make Windows happy. Gotta say, the final version is pretty smooth. Still going to never use Windows for development, but means I might play some more PC games.

Finally got my Windows 10 partition upgraded to final. Was still stuck on a really old build. Guess the upgrade process doesn't play nicely with Grub, so had to switch to the Windows bootloader to make Windows happy. Gotta say, the final version is pretty smooth. Still going to never use Windows for development, but means I might play some more PC games.___

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2015-08-23 23:42:17 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

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2015-08-21 21:00:58 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

I've always had some issues getting KSP to remain stable on Linux. Might have to give it a go on my console

I've always had some issues getting KSP to remain stable on Linux. Might have to give it a go on my console___

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2015-08-19 17:24:15 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

I can't be trusted in a Lego Store. This was a fun build. So much nostalgia

I can't be trusted in a Lego Store. This was a fun build. So much nostalgia___

2015-08-16 19:20:20 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Typed up a list of memory verses for my mom's class. Somehow felt wrong. Also realized even more how ridiculous Genesis is. Especially since everything was from some weird paraphrased version...

Typed up a list of memory verses for my mom's class. Somehow felt wrong. Also realized even more how ridiculous Genesis is. Especially since everything was from some weird paraphrased version...___

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2015-08-15 16:37:47 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 1 +1s; )Open 

The end of the video may be a teaser, though I can't figure out what it could be...

The end of the video may be a teaser, though I can't figure out what it could be...___

2015-08-10 19:57:16 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Got my Nexus 6 with Project Fi today. Man I've been missing out on this newfangled LTE thing

Got my Nexus 6 with Project Fi today. Man I've been missing out on this newfangled LTE thing___

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2015-08-07 22:40:01 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 1 +1s; )Open 

As a former creationist, this was an interesting read. Not a whole lot of information I hadn't already seen, but a nice overview of the basics of current scientific understanding and how we got to this point.

Sadly, won't convince the kinds of people it needs to. 

As a former creationist, this was an interesting read. Not a whole lot of information I hadn't already seen, but a nice overview of the basics of current scientific understanding and how we got to this point.

Sadly, won't convince the kinds of people it needs to. ___

2015-07-24 23:49:32 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Winterfox moves onto the semi-finals tomorrow. Let's go!

#HCSSeason2

Winterfox moves onto the semi-finals tomorrow. Let's go!

#HCSSeason2___

2015-07-24 20:23:21 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

HCS Season 2 finals hype!

Let's go Winterfox

HCS Season 2 finals hype!

Let's go Winterfox___

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2015-07-23 17:10:00 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Ever wondered what Earth would look like with Saturn's rings? Check this out: http://onemansblog.com/rings 

Ever wondered what Earth would look like with Saturn's rings? Check this out: http://onemansblog.com/rings ___

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2015-07-21 05:04:52 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

A Brief History of Everything, feat. Neil deGrasse Tyson
+MinutePhysics 
Published on Jul 20, 2015
This video brought to you by http://www.audible.com/minutephysics
Thanks to Neil deGrasse Tyson for his amazing writing and narration!

Music: "The Firebird Suite" by Igor Stravinsky, performed by the USAF Band, licensed from Naxos of America, Inc. for worldwide use.

Minute Physics provides an energetic and entertaining view of old and new problems in physics -- all in a minute!

A Brief History of Everything, feat. Neil deGrasse Tyson
+MinutePhysics 
Published on Jul 20, 2015
This video brought to you by http://www.audible.com/minutephysics
Thanks to Neil deGrasse Tyson for his amazing writing and narration!

Music: "The Firebird Suite" by Igor Stravinsky, performed by the USAF Band, licensed from Naxos of America, Inc. for worldwide use.

Minute Physics provides an energetic and entertaining view of old and new problems in physics -- all in a minute!___

2015-07-18 21:01:44 (2 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Driving in town is just as nerve-wracking as I remember. Especially when it's hard to see behind. 

Driving in town is just as nerve-wracking as I remember. Especially when it's hard to see behind. ___

2015-07-18 03:20:00 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 1 +1s; )Open 

Drove on the highway for the first time tonight. Wish my dad's SUV wasn't so damn big and full of junk. Went OK, slowly getting over my fear of driving. 

Drove on the highway for the first time tonight. Wish my dad's SUV wasn't so damn big and full of junk. Went OK, slowly getting over my fear of driving. ___

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2015-07-16 20:23:13 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Guess who's playing MtG!

Guess who's playing MtG!___

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2015-07-11 18:13:23 (0 comments; 1 reshares; 4 +1s; )Open 

Phantom internet haha :P

Phantom internet haha :P___

2015-07-10 18:51:10 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 2 +1s; )Open 

I have decided to return to school to get my degree in CS. I've decided that working on AI is what I really want out of life. Probably end up doing school for a good while towards that goal. Probably will also be stuck in Colorado for a while too. Oh well, could be worse. Kind of excited to get back into school and kick some ass. 

I have decided to return to school to get my degree in CS. I've decided that working on AI is what I really want out of life. Probably end up doing school for a good while towards that goal. Probably will also be stuck in Colorado for a while too. Oh well, could be worse. Kind of excited to get back into school and kick some ass. ___

2015-07-10 02:44:17 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 2 +1s; )Open 

"If you're atheist, you aren't very intelligent" - my mother

Reasons not to be openly atheist around Christian parents. Glad I got out before I got poisoned by the koolaid. Some of the things I've been hearing about SDAs (my family's affiliation), it only confirms it's all a joke. In 2015, they have voted to not let women be pastors. Over 80% of those voting were male. Religious nuts just don't get it.

If a god or something like it exists, and proof is found, I'll totally go along with it. But contrary to religious beliefs, there just isn't proof, and making assumptions based on dusty, poorly translated books just doesn't appeal to my "non-intelligence".


PS - I should probably note my parents still don't technically know I'm actually atheist. The quote above was not personal. 

"If you're atheist, you aren't very intelligent" - my mother

Reasons not to be openly atheist around Christian parents. Glad I got out before I got poisoned by the koolaid. Some of the things I've been hearing about SDAs (my family's affiliation), it only confirms it's all a joke. In 2015, they have voted to not let women be pastors. Over 80% of those voting were male. Religious nuts just don't get it.

If a god or something like it exists, and proof is found, I'll totally go along with it. But contrary to religious beliefs, there just isn't proof, and making assumptions based on dusty, poorly translated books just doesn't appeal to my "non-intelligence".


PS - I should probably note my parents still don't technically know I'm actually atheist. The quote above was not personal. ___

2015-07-04 18:47:37 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

I regret everything. Sunburn, kids. Not even once

I regret everything. Sunburn, kids. Not even once___

2015-07-03 14:45:29 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 2 +1s; )Open 

My brother was kind enough to pick me up from that aweful bus stop. Now to spend the day at Water World!

My brother was kind enough to pick me up from that aweful bus stop. Now to spend the day at Water World!___

2015-07-03 10:57:38 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

Damn the bus sucks. Not only do I have a 10 hour layover in Cheyenne, they don't even have a station. If I ever do need to take the bus again, I'm going to look over the itinerary before I get the ticket. 

Damn the bus sucks. Not only do I have a 10 hour layover in Cheyenne, they don't even have a station. If I ever do need to take the bus again, I'm going to look over the itinerary before I get the ticket. ___

2015-06-30 10:49:05 (1 comments; 0 reshares; 2 +1s; )Open 

Sense8 really starts to get interesting around episode 4, and it looks like it keeps accelerating. Almost didn't make it through the first two episodes, but from what I heard, it would be worth it. So glad I stuck with the show. Still have half a season to go, but it when it picks up, it really picks up.

Sense8 really starts to get interesting around episode 4, and it looks like it keeps accelerating. Almost didn't make it through the first two episodes, but from what I heard, it would be worth it. So glad I stuck with the show. Still have half a season to go, but it when it picks up, it really picks up.___

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2015-06-29 11:21:19 (0 comments; 0 reshares; 0 +1s; )Open 

___

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